Too Early to Call | November 4, 2020 | Hour One
Here's your conservative, not bitter host, Todd Huff. All right, folks, Well, here we are the day after morning after election day, and we're still sifting through what in the world is, is going on here. And we may be in this position for quite some time. So we'll talk about that today, I will tell you two things off the top number one, number one my feed to our while our video feed is not up today. We used our equipment last night. And one of the key pieces of equipment is not where I thought it was. We were at the studio last night broadcasting live from 9pm until midnight. And anyway, I don't know where that piece of equipment is set back everything set up here to go but the but the piece of equipment that feeds our audio into into our video system. So no video feed. And then that's, that's where we are with that this morning. So and number two, number two, this little guy, his little dragon a little bit this morning. So not as strong as I'd ever I am as we only got a couple of hours of sleep last night. And plus as you know, this is a moving target this morning as we begin to to sift through what is going on with the returns which is where we will start which is where we will start today. By the way, welcome to the program. Email, Todd, The Todd Huff show.com facebook.com is where we normally are. But of course, we're not there because of the adapter situation here. So let's get right into it. This morning. We have several states that they have not called yet. And I will tell you that as they stand now, as they stand at this particular time. Most of these states are favoring President Trump now I'm looking at CNN. I am looking at CNN, CNN has the states that are not called they cannot call yet. They have those states including what's Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania. They have Maine, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada. And I guess the last I don't know what Alaska's deal is. I don't know if it's because of the just where it wasn't proximity. But that is, at least on CNN, not yet called it is very favorable situation for President Trump in Wisconsin. Although that is I mean, we're within two tenths of a point in the state of Wisconsin, with Biden currently winning by about 7000 votes, folks, this is um, we knew that this was a very likely scenario. In Michigan, President Trump is up a couple hundred thousand votes, almost 200,000, but 197,000 votes. Pennsylvania is looking really good for President Trump and a really powerful way. But again, if you break down, you know, there's layers to this, as you can imagine, you've got counties, you've got counties and where they're reporting and the counties including or surrounding Philadelphia, which is really where the democrat vote is going to come from in Pennsylvania. Basically, it comes from the cities. It comes from Philadelphia, it comes from Harrisburg, it comes from Pittsburgh, and that's where the bulk of the votes are coming from but Trump is up currently in with what we're seeing in Philadelphia or excuse me, Pennsylvania. Trump is up Overall, in that state, currently with with where we find ourselves in, sorry, this map is not cooperating really well and bear with me here. North Carolina, North Carolina is a scenario that also favors President Trump 95% of the precincts reporting. President Trump is up about about getting close to 9080 or 90,000 votes in North Carolina, Georgia is another one closer. Georgia is closer than many folks expected, including me, I did not. I knew that there were some I don't know, early indicators that Georgia may be a problem for President Trump, but I really did not. I thought it was going to be similar to what we saw in Texas, which President Trump ended up winning, winning Texas, of course, there's still some vote to be tallied there. But I getting close to 700,000 votes in Texas. So that wasn't as close as people had originally thought. So but in Georgia, we're down to I mean, basically 100,000 hundred thousand votes or so. But if you look at this, and I want to give you some words of Well, I'm going to give you words of encouragement and words of caution here this morning, as I'm still shaking the cobwebs out of my out of my head this morning. I want to give you words of encouragement and the words of encouragement are that it is very favorable for Trump still in the landscape of this election. Now, Wisconsin is one that has somewhat changed since last night or early early this morning a couple of hours ago, I think, in fact, when I when I went to the bed, which was honestly about I think about two to 30. I believe President Trump was ahead was ahead in Wisconsin, he's now down 7000 votes there. Michigan, is in good shape, but a lot of these states are showing very favorably towards towards Trump, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin at this point is anybody's guess. But with Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia. All appeared to be showing favorably for Trump. CNN still has Arizona as a toss of other other places are calling Arizona for for Trump and then Nevada. Is razor tight. That's an 8000 vote contest there as as well. So Nevada and Wisconsin are incredibly tight. The other states look by and large to be favoring Trump, other than other than Arizona. And I don't know again the deal with the last guy I don't think there's any real I don't know Alaska is one that should be strong. Trump but it's not it's not been called yet. And I don't know we'll look at Maine here why they don't have it call us as well looks. You know, Biden's gonna probably pull out Maine. So really, we've got these these states that we knew are going to be the factors coming into yesterday's election. And it looks so my that the word of encouragement is it looks it still looks good for Trump. The word of caution is that anytime that there is a delay, anytime there's a delay, we open ourselves up to the possibility of cheating, stuffing ballot boxes of finding, you know scenario where people will find ballots in abandon school rooms or trunks of cars over the next days and weeks, especially when we've had these judges. We've had we've had state election workers arbitrarily extend deadlines in states and then courts have upheld some of these decisions. And we have votes that may come You know, that may trickle in or be found or whatever in the days to come. And those include places like Wisconsin like in North Carolina, of course, Pennsylvania, especially when you factor in Philadelphia. So that's the word of caution there. CNN has this to 24 to 213, the electoral counts. But again, and maybe we'll do some quick math math after, after the break, it's it's gonna be close, it is close, of course, you need to 70 to win. But neither candidate is there yet. And both of them are going to have to fight and claw for this to, to, you know, to be the victor here. So cheating is, of course, a reality. We've got lawyers we've got. I mean, it's this is this has the makings of being a contentious process here. And a questionable process it gives me to some degree flashbacks to 2000s. When we're counting hanging chads, and holding ballots up to light and looking for dimpled chairs, and again, the hanging chads, and just that whole shenanigan back in 2000, it's shaping up to look like that yet. Yet again, popular vote, the popular vote Biden, according to CNN has 68,090,000 votes, Trump at 65,645,000, that's 50.1 to 48.3. So, and again, we're still going through the details here, trying to see if and how someone gets to 270. So a lot to unpack here. reasons to be optimistic, absolutely reasons to be concerned, absolutely, as well. Because we know again, that I was listening last night, as I was coming home. From the studios, I was listening, Biden came out and gave a an update to his followers out there honking their horns, or they, they're in their cars, because that's how this is done nowadays. But Biden said exactly what I expected him to say, which is, this election should not be I mean, I'm paraphrasing here should not be declared until every vote is counted. Of course, every legitimately cast ballot that meets the requirements and deadlines should be counted. Any ballot that does and this is straightforward. This is by law, this is you have to have deadlines, you have to have requirements you have to have whatever the rules are for every state that is absolutely part of this process. But you're going to begin to see those boundaries pushed especially if the democrats think that helps them squeeze out eke out a couple of other couple of other votes here and there. So I'm going to do some math here, see exactly where we stand with the electoral counts what some of those paths are to the 270 electoral votes. But this, my friends, is kind of the the the scenario that we in many ways expected. Or maybe we're slightly concerned, that might be the case, the morning after election day. And here we are, and we're gonna have to sift through this and deal with this. And we'll do that here. After the break. Take a quick timeout. You're listening here to the home of conservative, not bitter talk. I am your host, Todd Huff back here in just a minute.
Welcome back, folks. So we're looking here at the at the results trying to sift through these trying to see, I mean, this is I just I just go back in to my memory bank as I'm, again as some of these numbers are still just kind of sinking in and I'm looking at different scenarios and so forth. But I'm reminded I'm reminded of where we have how close that we've talked about this election being and as we've said on this program, that it's gonna come down to key states and it's going to come down to small percentages small handful number of votes in key states now, as I look at this, Firefox has it at 238 to 213. And they've awarded the state of Arizona, to Biden, the states that are left to be determined currently at with Fox, and also with CNN, CNN has Arizona still, as a toss up, and I also believe her know what the other state is I'm trying to find the one that they're not that they've not included, but they have it I think, 224 to 213, Fox as a 238 to 13. Again, that's the electoral count based upon what we've seen from the from last night's election. And are the results being tabulated last night, and they're still being tabulated? So basically, we have a scenario where Trump's currently down which again, I don't want you to freak out about because that's not necessarily the concerning part. It is. I don't want to say that it's not because Arizona flip, that's a big one I was, I was counting on Arizona, and Trump looks like he's lost Arizona, if that's in fact, again, it's 9092 93,000 vote difference there. In Arizona, CNN doesn't have a call yet for Biden, but Fox does, I will say, and this, this maybe even pains me to say but But typically, you know that I'm not a big fan of CNN, in fact, I would maintain that they are one of the biggest problems that we face in the media today, at least in the media that is wide, widely known. And I don't want to say widely consumed because they're in some in some of their programs are consumed by large numbers of people. But anyway, whenever you look at this, and you and you realize that, you know, they are part of the problem getting the message out, but I do think that election night, they, they do a pretty good job of reporting some things. So, in fact, I almost feel like they were a little bit more cautious and responsible than we saw with Fox. But then there's the whole scenario of you know, I think that the extension of this election does play into a strategy that the Democrats have had all along, which is to draw this out to find ballots, of course, how do we know that this thing's over? I'll tell you. And I told you yesterday and the week before, we know that this election is over, according to the media, and according to Biden will know that this election is over the second that Biden has more votes and the second Biden gets to 70. That's how we'll know. That's how we'll know all the votes have been counted. That's the way that this is done. So I still, I still would rather with this information that we see. In fact, if I take I did the math here, after the break, if I take all of the what what would what we know from all the states that are that are in question which include Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Alaska and Maine to By the way, Maine to is currently leaning towards Trump with the data that we see. If we simply assign the states that are the states and the districts in the case of Maine, two that are leaning Trump that means you have to give Trump Alaska that's three electoral votes, Georgia 16. In North Carolina, 15, Pennsylvania is 20, Michigan 16. And then main to that puts us at 284. Folks, that means Trump is the victor. If these numbers Hold up, Biden would get Nevada and Wisconsin that would put him at 254. So Trump would win by 30 electoral votes, but where this gets really dicey, and this is gonna, I'm telling you this, this, the scenarios here are frightening. But that means Biden Biden would be sitting at 254 that is 16 away from 270 of the states I just read you which in which the Trumps that we gave to Trump or that Trump's currently quote unquote, leading in based upon what the results we've seen returned. Those include Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, and Alaska, of those states. Three of those four would tip the scales for Biden, if he was to win any one of those if Biden would win Georgia, that would give him 16 electoral votes, he would hit the 270. Exactly. So it would be 272 268. Folks. If Biden, I can't even imagine this, if Biden was somehow only win North Carolina out of that list of states, he would be at 269. Folks, that's a 269 269 scenario whereby this election would then go to the Congressional Caucus of each state, each state would get one vote based upon their congressional delegation. And I haven't dug into the details as to what that would look like yet. And in relation to last night's election results, so that's a whole nother scenario. If Biden would win Pennsylvania, of course, holding on to Wisconsin in Nevada, he wins Pennsylvania, that puts him at 274, Michigan would put him exactly at 270, as well. So and we have this main two main two could be a player folks, one electoral vote, that can make all the difference in the world. So we're looking at a scenario where it literally could be tied. We're looking at a scenario where Biden could get one of these states and when Trump Of course, now again, with the numbers we have in right now, the two states that are the closest are Wisconsin, and Nevada, at least in the total number of votes separating Trump and Biden. So mathematically, mathematically, again, not knowing what votes have not been reported, yet, mathematically, it's easier for Trump to get in Nevada or Wisconsin. Bennett is for Biden to get Michigan, Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, or Georgia. Trump's leads in those states are much larger currently with what we've got. In fact, it looks to me, again, it's this too close to call but Trump's in a very favorable position. And Georgia, Trump's in a very favorable position in North Carolina.
In those two states are actually very, very similar. He's got a slightly bigger percentage lead in Georgia, the North Carolina but it's still in North Carolina, it's what 1.4% lead. In Georgia, it is 2.2. But again, we're there's questions about votes that were tabulated. And there was a leaking pipeline that this is stuff that you just can't make up a leaking pipe in Fulton County, which is the home of Atlanta, that that caused counting of ballots to be delayed. So there's that issue. But again, as you look at these states, Trump's in a favor, a very favorable position in Georgia, currently a very favorable position in North Carolina, and incredibly favorable position in Pennsylvania. But there's a lot of question marks with Pennsylvania, Philadelphia stopped counting electoral votes late last night. I'm sorry. absentee ballots late last night in Michigan also looks very favorable for Trump. He's up 1.4%. There. So again, the table is still set up, I would rather be I would rather be just barely now. But I would rather be team Trump this morning. Seeing these numbers and looking at the lead and the difference in what has to happen, then I would team Biden, but this is where this is the thing that we've been concerned about all along. This is the this this is the point of the election, where you start to ask yourself questions, what exactly are we counting at this point? When does the game end? When does counting in, in this process, and you're gonna find, I mean, we've already had lawsuits, but this is now the point in time, where there's going to be fighting about when the elections actually over when the tabulating is actually done. Right. Now, of course, we still have tabulations. So Michigan has 87% of its precincts reporting. Pennsylvania has 64% of its precincts reporting. So there's still a sizable chunk of votes that are not accounted for. So that's concerning as far as what does that really mean? North Carolina has 94% of the precincts reporting. So that's the vast majority of the ballots counted, counted there. Georgia is also at 94%. Wisconsin's at 95%, but it's the closest of all of the Of all the states, and then Nevada has 67%. And like Wisconsin is only separated by Wisconsin separated by about 7000 by Biden has a 7000 ballot lead in Wisconsin, and he has an 8000 or so ballot lead in Nevada. Trump's are much larger in those other states in question. So, folks, I'm like you hear I mean, that, you know, I've followed this for a living, I've, you know, follow this for a long time. But there are a lot, there are a lot of questions, a lot of scenarios, a lot of a lot of things that are still going to happen, and we're just gonna have to wade through this to get together here. And hope that Trump holds on to what he has, because as it stands right now, if things hold the way that they're currently shaping up, Trump would win 284, the 254. But again, if any of those Trump seats states flip, well, except Alaska, which again, I think, I don't know why it's not called that a little concerning, I guess, too. But I haven't looked into that. That's three electoral votes that even if you lost that, that's not the end of the world. We don't want that to happen. And I don't I don't think that's going to happen. But again, I don't know why it's not projected yet. But nonetheless, if Biden was to just get Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania or Michigan, he would either win or Yes, my friends possibly tie if he won North Carolina, and all these other states played out the way that they're currently trending or with what our current data shows us, then, we could literally have a 269 269 tie that is absolutely possible here. So you look at Nebraska two, which actually went for Biden, I did not think that would happen. So that's an important one. And you've got Maine too, which is, looks like it may go to Trump. If that is the case, then you can see the scenario where we have have a tide, so not likely. And you think about all this stems from that, I mean, the fallout here.
And just the series of thoughts that trickled through my mind when I say those words. I mean, this is a remarkable scenario still would prefer to be Trump. But again, I would prefer that this would have been a blowout last night, that was not the case. And we're still counting ballots and let the real fun and games begin here and be ready for this. I mean, this, this is gonna probably be a bit of an emotional ride, this is going to be an up and down situation, this is going to be something that's full of questions and concerns and lawsuits and unrest, and probably riots and protests. And I just, I don't even know what's in store for us. But anyway, more on this, when we get back still trying to wrap my head around this on about three hours of sleep. So you're listening here to the home of conservative, not bitter talk. I am your host, Todd Huff back here in just a minute.
Welcome back, folks, again, we are sifting through sifting through the results of last night and trying to trying to look at what is happening. What's gonna happen next. How close these races are. I mean, who it is it is something else. But here's Trump last night. Trump, of course is out there kind of well, claiming claiming victory. I want you to hear Trump talk about what what he's saying last night. He's talking about North Carolina first, here you go.
We're up 1.4% or 77,000 votes with only approximately 5% left. We also if you look and you see Arizona, we have a lot of life in that and somebody said somebody declared that it was a victory for us. And maybe it will be I mean, that's possible. But certainly there were a lot of votes out there that we could get because we're now just coming into what they call Trump territory. I don't know what you call it, but these were friendly Trump voters and that could be overturned. The gentleman that called I watched tonight, he said, Well, we think it's fairly unlikely that he could catch her fairly unlikely. And we don't even need it. We don't need that that was just a state that if we would have gotten that it would have been nice, Arizona. But there's a possibility, maybe even a good possibility. In fact, since I saw that, originally, it's been changed. And the numbers have substantially come down just in a small amount of votes. So we want that, obviously, to stay in play. But most importantly, we're winning Pennsylvania by a tremendous amount. We're up 600. Think of this, think of this, think of this. Were up 690,000 votes in Pennsylvania 600. These aren't even close. That's not like, Oh, it was with 64% of the vote in, it's going to be almost impossible to catch. And we're coming into good Pennsylvania areas where they happen to like your president. So we'll probably expand.We're winning Michigan, but I'll tell you, I looked at the numbers. I said, Well, I looked, I said, Wow, that's a lot by almost 300,000 votes, and 65% of the voters there. And we're winning Wisconsin. So when we don't need all of them. We need because when you add Texas in, which was an added, I spoke with the really wonderful governor of texas just a little while ago and Greg Abbott, he said, congratulations. He called me to congratulate me on winning Texas. I believe we won Texas, I don't think they finished quite the tabulation. But there's no way. And it was almost complete. But he congratulated me. And he said, by the way, what's going on? I've never seen anything like this. Can I tell you what nobody has? So we won by 107,000 votes with 81% of the vote. That's Michigan. So when you take those three states in particular, and you take all of the others, I mean, we have, we have so many we had such a big night. You just take a look at all of these states that we've won tonight. And then you take a look at the kind of margins that we've want to buy. And all of a sudden, it's not like we're up 12 votes, and we have 60% left. We won states and all of a sudden, I said what happened to the election, it's off. And we have all these announcers saying, what happened? And then they said, Oh, because you know what happened? They knew they couldn't win. So they said, Let's go to court. I predict this noon. Did I say this? I've been saying this from the day I heard, they were gonna send out 10s of millions of ballots. I said exactly. Because either they were going to win or if they didn't win, muddy the water take us to court. So Florida was a tremendous victory. 377All right. Alright, I'm gonna stop that. But do you get the you get the idea declaring. I'm just going through this now the the situation in Wisconsin has changed since he spoke earlier this morning. So But again, it's razor close. And folks I've been we've been giving you scenarios as to what could happen if Biden wins one of these other states, whether it's Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, or North Carolina, what happens if Trump wins, Nevada, and Wisconsin and or Wisconsin, that's a total of 16 electoral votes, he could, in theory, win both of those, again, he's closer by the total number of votes, and I think by percentages as well in both of those states. Yeah, I think he's closer than Biden is anywhere else currently, based upon our current calculations. But if Trump picks both of those states up, which is possible, and he keeps the ones that are currently in his column, that is 16 electoral votes, and that puts Trump at 300 electoral votes. So that is still possible. I'm not predicting that. I still at this point in time, again, and I just, I want to call out all the know it alls here, who kept saying that Trump's and that Trump's path to 270 270 electoral votes was more Narrow then Biden's path folks right now Trump's path, Trump has a lot more options, because he's leading in more of these states, North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Biden's to Wisconsin in Nevada. And he's also winning, leading based upon the numbers that we're saying, I don't like to use the term leading because the ballots have been counted. And if they haven't, that's part of the problem in this scenario, that there are things that are going to be counted after election day, which is preposterous and crazy and ludicrous to me. But anyway, the Trump leads in more of these states, and Trump is closer in the states he's not leading in than Biden is. So again, the pads for Trump to get to 270. Even though right now he's behind in the electoral count to 38 to 3213. If you look at Fox, and Trump still questioning, Arizona, which is a fair question as well, I think, again, it's may not, he may not catch up there, once all the votes are tabulated, be able to have a way to win. But again, I just, I would lie, I would prefer to be Trump in this scenario, than I would be Joe Biden. And that's not just because of our ideological differences. And because I have no idea what Biden's gonna say, at any given moment. It's also because of just looking at the map and the math here. And the numbers, those are all favorable dramatically. So when you look at this and break it down for for President Trump, so gotta take a break. You're listening here to conservative, not bitter talk, the morning after the election, trying to sift through this makes sense, we're gonna have a lot of things to discuss here, folks, as we enter into the days and hopefully not weeks, but who knows what some of these folks and what they're willing to do, they will do anything, I put nothing past them, I don't I put nothing past the left, back here in just a minute.
Welcome back, I do want to play this other part of Trump's speech last night. This is of course going to cause this, this listen to this, this is they're going to just listen to what he says here. Fraud on the American public. This is an embarrassment to our country. We were getting ready to win this election. Frankly, we did win this election.Our goal now is to ensure the integrity for the good of this nation, this is a very big moment. This is a major fraud in our nation. We want the law to be used in a proper manner. So we'll be going to the US Supreme Court. We want all voting to stop. We don't want them to find any ballots at fair o'clock in the morning and add them to the rest. It's it's a very sad. It's a very sad moment. To me. There's a very sad moment, and we will win this. And as far as I'm concerned, we already have one. So I just want to thank andI want to thank all of ourThere you go. So that's where this is left. That's where this is left. Trump's already declared victory. Biden's told him you can't do that. Supreme Court has been mentioned, referencing counting votes. I mean, this is these are legitimate concerns. So again, the message to me this morning is twofold. optimistic, lots of reasons to think the map and the math works in Trump's favor. I would rather be Trump's team at this point than Biden's when I look at what's remaining on the map, in particular. Second point. This we need to be cautious and we need to make sure that what Trump says doesn't happen. ballots mysteriously appearing and people start counting things long after the election. So gotta come back or take a break. Listen to conservative, not bitter talk. I'm your host Todd Huff back in just a minute.
Welcome back. So, so so so haven't even talked about the center yet haven't even shared with you. I don't have time running out of time or this morning. Anybody any part of Biden's speech I referenced it earlier last night telling his supporters to keep the faith, keep the faith and some words about how they're still going to win this thing when every vote is counted. In fact, that's not What we're going to start hearing of course, folks, we want every vote to count so long as it met the deadlines and the criteria for said vote. That doesn't mean you can find them in a closet. You can find them in some democratic you know, ballot harvesters, trunk of their car and expect those to count. These are the sorts of things that will happen. It reminds me again of 2000. And and some of the things that happened there and how folks have misled people into believing that bush stole that election from Al Gore back in 2000. simply not the case. Bush won every single recount there was not an instance where gore actually won the state of Florida but they leave that part out. Anyway. I've got to go. So much more to get through here in the days to come sddc tomorrow. Take care